There is no question that the distinction between this case and those cases where the retirement of trustees was with a view to purchase is a valid one. Implicit in this judgment is the recognition that there is no absolute rule against self-dealing. The willingness of his Lordship to look at the reality is consistent with the approach of the court in Holder and the recent application of the no-conflict rule in other contexts.
If the broader approach of Holder is adopted, it must be a question of fact whether a trustee in a unit trust can purchase. The court may take into account the fact the trustee does not participate in the decision to make the sale. Read the rest of this entry »
Pricing
When buying or selling either an open-end or closed-end fund, an investor usually knows the current value of the fund’s assets per share (NAV).
For example, to buy an open-end fund with a NAV of $15, an investor pays $15 per share. The fund simply issues new shares to the investor at the current NAV. The assets the fund manages have increased, but the value per share remains the same because the new shares have exactly the same value as the other shares. If the investor sells, he or she is paid the NAV. The amount of assets the fund manages has been reduced, but the NAV of outstanding shares has not changed because the shares redeemed were equal in value to all others.
With closed-end funds, the shares are traded in the open market and are consequently subject to demand/supply imbalances. They may trade at a price greater than their NAV (termed a premium) or at a price below the NAV (termed a discount). Read the rest of this entry »
The ease of adapting Drach’s methods to closed-end funds is based on the similarity of scanning for relative discounting. The essence of the timing technique is to attempt to expand common stock investment when the overall market is relatively low, confining investment interest to stocks that qualify for the Master List, which appear relatively discounted to the others.
Scanning for the most appropriate closed-end fund based on discounts has the same objective: isolating the cheapest. In Drach’s objectives, he is searching for specific stocks that are overly discounted. In Herzfeld’s closed-end fund analysis, he is searching for the most discounted fund. The focus of both techniques is to isolate excessive discounts relative to historical/statistical norms.
A significant differential between Drach’s concentration on specific stock and Herzfeld’s concentration on specific funds is that the funds, by their structure, involve diversity in the number of different positions. Read the rest of this entry »
One issue that has elicited different responses is the role of currency risk in overall risk and return. Currency risk has been accounted for in all of the evidence presented. So the existence of currency risk will not reduce the benefits of investing in foreign markets. Rather, the question is whether managing currency risk will improve the gains from international investing.
While the reduction of any kind of risk is good, there are two issues that must be considered with regard to currency risk. First, the correlation between currency risk and stock market risk is close to zero. That means that currency changes and stock returns are independent of one another. Though both currency risk and stock market risk contribute to the total risk of a portfolio of foreign stocks, the contribution of currency risk to the total risk is not very large because of the zero correlation. On average, currency risk contributes less than 20 percent of the total risk. Read the rest of this entry »
Empirical evidence suggests that stocks experience momentum and reversals in returns depending on holding periods. Generally, there is momentum in short-term returns of about one month and also in the medium term of about one year, but reversals in longer periods of three to five years.
The most successful momentum strategy is to buy stocks that have performed the best over the past three to twelve months, and short-sell stocks that performed the worst over the same period. If these positions are held for the next three to twelve months, the positions generate an abnormal return of about 12 percent per year. Momentum strategies seem to be adopted extensively by mutual funds and other institutions.
Over longer periods, studies find that the returns reverse, that is, past winners become losers if held for three to five years and past losers become winners. According to long-term studies, 25-40 percent of the future return is predictable based on past returns.
Unlocking Value Around Expiration of IPO Lockups
Read the rest of this entry »
Nearly all of the mutual fund families offer multiple funds that are geared toward international investing. The different kinds of funds can be categorized into index funds, international funds, regional funds, country funds, emerging market funds, and global funds. International mutual funds have higher expense ratios than domestic mutual funds to cover higher trading costs and higher management fees. The funds also tend to have redemption fees to control frequent trading. Examples of funds offered by major mutual fund companies are given below.
* Index funds. These include Fidelity Spartan International Index Fund, Vanguard Developed Markets Stock Index, Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index, and Price International Equity Index Fund.
* International funds. These funds do not invest in the domestic market. Funds include Fidelity International Growth, T. Rowe Price International, Fidelity Overseas, Vanguard International Growth, Fidelity Diversified International, and so on.
* Global funds. These funds invest in all countries, including the domestic market, and include Templeton World, GT Global Worldwide, Dreyfus Global, Vanguard Global Equity, Price Global Stock, and so on. Read the rest of this entry »
Buying foreign stocks is cumbersome for an individual investor because it requires currency conversion, opening an account with a foreign broker, taking custody of a foreign company’s shares, and all the associated transactions. Many domestic brokers now offer trading in foreign stocks, but it is still a lot more difficult to buy and sell foreign stocks than it is to trade domestic stocks.
There are, however, alternatives available that do not require direct trading on foreign stock exchanges. These are American depository receipts (ADRs), mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and multinational companies. Details are provided below.
ADRs are negotiable registered certificates that stand in for the underlying stock of foreign companies. A U.S. bank (called a custodian bank) holds shares of foreign companies and issues receipts (ADRs) against those shares. There could be one ADR for several shares or several ADRs for one share of stock—the custodian bank picks a ratio that puts the ADR in a tradable range of $50-100. For example, each share of British Petroleum is subdivided into six ADRs and each share of British Airways is equal to ten ADRs, while two Honda shares make one ADR but one Sony share is equal to one ADR. Read the rest of this entry »
James M. Clash
A wave of consolidation is washing over the mutual fund business. So far this year funds totaling more than $125 billion in assets have changed hands. To hear the consolidators tell it, mergers are good because they bring fund investors economies of scale and breadth of choice within a fund family. Will these promises be fulfilled? It is instructive to consider some of the bigger recent mergers. The results are not encouraging.
Take the Dreyfus funds, purchased in December 1993 by Pittsburgh’s Mellon Bank. In the three years before the merger, the 12 domestic stock funds at Dreyfus performed, on average, on a par with the S&P 500 index. In the three years since, these funds, on average, have underperformed the index by a stunning seven percentage points a year.
Then there’s the American Capital/Van Kampen merger in August 1994. In the 26 months prior to the marriage, the 11 stock funds here outperformed the S&P 500 index by an average of two points annually. In the 26 months since the merger, the funds have underperformed, Read the rest of this entry »
Underlying the policy debate about merits of institutional activism is the empirical question: Does such activism have a significant impact on corporations that are the target of that activism? The short answer is that it’s unclear.
In an attempt to provide an intermediate-level answer, let us review a few points that emerge from this debate on the impact of institutional activism. To begin, the studies do not usually include proxy fights or takeover bids since these are rare events for institutional investors. In addition, these studies are all premised on the efficient markets theory, so they assume that the impact from shareholder activism can be measured by looking at a change in stock price after a specific event, such as a pension fund’s submission of a stockholder proposal.
These economic studies tend to show no or little positive price effects from proposals to change general governance procedures, such as the introduction of confidential voting or the appointment of an external board chairman (separate from the CEO). Read the rest of this entry »
Despite the absence of SEC rules on fund participation in the governance process of publicly traded companies, mutual fund complexes routinely vote their proxies on items submitted to stockholders for approval. (Such proxy voting should be considered part of the normal exercise of fiduciary duties, as distinct from institutional activism, discussed below.) In voting proxies, fund advisers generally follow written guidelines that have been approved by the independent directors of the funds. The fund adviser typically processes and votes all proxies for shares held by the funds in accordance with these guidelines. On an annual basis, the fund adviser usually submits a report on proxy voting matters to the board of directors of the funds or a committee of the board. Read the rest of this entry »
Investment advisers to actively managed funds devote tremendous resources to researching companies and industries. As part of that research, employees of such fund advisers meet regularly with company executives to discuss business results and trends. The analyst assigned to a company usually has detailed knowledge about the company’s business strategy and financial performance, as well as the quality of its management. Read the rest of this entry »
Institutional activists can be divided into three groups: those who seek to implement sound corporate governance, those who target underperforming companies and those who advocate a social or political agenda. In practice, the first two groups tend to converge on companies that have substantially underperformed their peers or a market index. The last group focuses on companies whose businesses or corporate policies are viewed as detrimental to the social welfare in some fashion. Read the rest of this entry »
What if a stock has run out of steam and we’re anticipating a period of consolidation or lower volatility for a period of time? What if we have identified a range-bound stock and we want to take advantage of this price pattern behavior? We can achieve this by trading low-risk, high-reward options strategies! The two strategies we’ll discuss in this chapter are the Butterfly and the Condor, both of which produce profits provided the price remains within a certain price range, determined by the Exercise prices we select.
Butterflies
The Butterfly involves the following steps (you can use all calls or all puts with the Butterfly—you cannot mix the two):
Butterfly with Calls
Step 1 Buy 1 lower strike (ITM) call
Step 2 Sell 2 middle strike ATM calls
Step 3 Buy 1 higher strike (OTM) call
There are two key points here:
- The ratio between buying the ITM call, selling the ATM calls, and buying the OTM call is 1:2:1.
- The distance between the three adjacent strikes must be equal, with the middle strike being ATM or as close to ATM as possible.
Read the rest of this entry »
Delta The speed of a Straddle’s position accelerates dramatically Near the Money. Delta is
negative when the stock price is very low and accelerates into,a positive value when the stock price is nearer and above the strike price. This shows us that when the stock price is lower than the strike price, further down movement is profitable, and when the stock price is higher than the strike price, continued up movement is required from the stock to make the Straddle profitable. Delta’s profile is somewhat “S’ shaped. Delta will generally be less than one (for one contract) when the stock price is ATM. This signifies that at that point, the value of the Straddle will vary with the stock price, but at a reduced speed.
Gamma Gamma is always positive with a long Straddle and peaks where delta is rising at its
steepest angle. This invariably occurs Near the Money, indicating that the Straddle is very sensitive to swings in the stock price at these levels.
Theta Time decay affects the Straddle detrimentally. Theta assumes a “V” shape and is almost
entirely negative, forming its trough At the Money. This makes total sense because with a long Straddle you are buying two options premiums and are heavily exposed to time decay. Where the stock price is far lower than the Straddle strike price, theta can have a fractional positive value.
Vega Vega is entirely positive and forms a mountain-top shape, peaking At the Money. With the
vega value peaking ATM this indicates to us that a small increase in volatility is going to increase the value of our Straddle position markedly. Read the rest of this entry »
Delta Delta peaks in between the two strike prices (i.e. near the money)—notice the difference
between the one-month Delta profile and the one-week delta profile. This shows us that small movements in the underlying stock price at these levels will have a more dramatic impact on the value of the Bull Put position. Delta becomes much more sensitive as time decays. This means that the Bull Put risk profile itself becomes much more sensitive as time decays. This is because Time Value is depleting to negligible levels, and so the stock movement is being followed almost exclusively by Intrinsic Value at these levels. Notice that as the stock price veers away from the money (on both sides), Delta is hardly sensitive at all and that the most sensitive Delta action is occurring close to the two strike prices.
Gamma The acceleration and deceleration of Delta is reflected in the Gamma values. As you would expect, Gamma peaks in positive territory where the stock is just below the lower strike price and troughs into negative territory where the stock is just above the higher strike price. Read the rest of this entry »
This is a counterintuitive commandment. Normally, when the market experiences a significant downward trend, people sell off some of their holdings or even get out completely. Vanity makes it hard for people to face their portfolio’s decline in value. Anger with the market makes them want to get out. Instead, these down periods are opportunities to invest a bit more than normal.
In moments of doubt, consider these facts: The Dow dipped below 8,000 after 9/11/01, but then rose to over 10,700 within six months. At the beginning of the Iraq war in March 2003, the Dow went below 7,400 and was over 10,000 by the end of the year.
The market is more resilient than anyone thinks during the times when it reaches its nadir. Time and again, it has bounced back, and you want to be invested in it when it springs upward.
To a certain extent, all investors react to good or bad news regarding the market. Investing gluttons, however, overreact. They are so hungry for action, they respond to the rumor of a merger or the hint of regulatory move by buying and selling. They become so worked up at the hint of bad news involving a stock they’re holding that they reflexively sell; they become so eager for profit at possible good news that they immediately buy.
The irony is that these gluttons think they’re getting a jump on the market, but in reality, they’re lagging behind it. Stocks can often move before the first trade by 5 percent on good or bad news. As a result, investors that use good or bad news as a trigger for a trade usually are dealing with unfavorable price movement. They deceive themselves into thinking that by reacting quickly to a news report about a stock or a broader economic trend, they are going to get a jump on other investors. In reality, they are lagging behind the market as well as other investors who make less frequent but more strategic investing decisions. Read the rest of this entry »
1. Lose Money
Like Maria, most gluttons rationalize their investing behaviors. They equate action with money: You’ve got to play if you want it to pay. This may be true if you are a trader in Chicago Board of Trade, but for the rest of us, frenetic investing usually results in losses rather than in wins. Gluttons invest burdened by four weaknesses that they may be unaware of or that they may discount. Let’s examine these four vulnerabilities and why they should not be discounted: Read the rest of this entry »
In other words, don’t worship profits and take them just because you have them. As tempting as it is to book a profit when stocks do well, many times it’s wiser to hold on to the stock and wait for its price to rise further over time. Before making a decision, examine the company before you bought it, look at what has transpired since, and then ask yourself the following questions:
Have the earnings grown faster than market expectations?
Has there been some positive event that may allow for greater growth in the future?
Be aware, too, that if you have held the stock for months or even years without much positive movement and it suddenly shoots up, your temptation will be to sell in what seems an anomalous period. Before selling, though, do your research and see if this really is anomaly or if it is just the start of a longer-lasting upward trend.
I remember buying Cummins, Inc. (CMI), an Indiana-based engine manufacturer, at $32 in 2001. The company was experiencing a slowdown in sales and earnings were declining. The stock struggled, bottomed out at $20 and finally recovered to the upper $30s by the middle of 2004. Relieved that the stock had made a respectable comeback, I sold at $39 and made a modest profit. What I failed to do was track a clear change in the sales and profit momentum of the company. My avarice got the better of me. If I had waited until late 2006, I would have seen the stock climb to $100 as earnings were poised to exceed $10 per share for the year.
To help you manage the three secondary sins just mentioned as well as the seven major ones, I’ve put together a list of ten things you should and should not do. They compliment the sins, in that they are action items as opposed to “warnings.” Just as the ten commandments of biblical fame suggest ways to avoid the seven sins, these commandments function in a similar manner. Keeping a list of these commandments handy next to a list of the sins should provide you with the model you need to maintain your virtuous investment path.
Let’s look at each commandment and how to obey it:
- Thou shall not convert thy neighbor’s investment
- Thou shall not make a killing
- Know thy investments better than thou know thyself
- Thou shall not make unto thee a graven image of profits
- Thou shall not take the name of the Lord in vain or issue nay foul-tempered oaths while investing
- Thou shall not commit adultery chasing some thy little stock of the moment
- Honor they mother, thy father, and the market in good times and bad
- Thou shall not steal from thyself by forgetting about taxes
- Thou shall not worship false idols or deceitful financial advisors
