Applying Specific Market Timing and Selection Techniques to Closed-End Funds

Posted on March 13th, 2008 in Bond Funds, Equity Funds | 4 Comments »

The ease of adapting Drach’s methods to closed-end funds is based on the similarity of scanning for relative discounting. The essence of the timing technique is to attempt to expand common stock investment when the overall market is relatively low, confining investment interest to stocks that qualify for the Master List, which appear relatively discounted to the others.

Scanning for the most appropriate closed-end fund based on discounts has the same objective: isolating the cheapest. In Drach’s objectives, he is searching for specific stocks that are overly discounted. In Herzfeld’s closed-end fund analysis, he is searching for the most discounted fund. The focus of both techniques is to isolate excessive discounts relative to historical/statistical norms.

A significant differential between Drach’s concentration on specific stock and Herzfeld’s concentration on specific funds is that the funds, by their structure, involve diversity in the number of different positions. Read the rest of this entry »

Continuous Full Investment with Hedging

Posted on March 12th, 2008 in Bond Funds, Capital Funds, Current Funds, Equity Funds, Hedge Funds, Large Cap Funds, Loan Funds, Money Market Funds, Mutual Funds, Sector Funds, Stock Funds | 4 Comments »

In the common stock investment techniques, the most obvious hedging strategy might be to be long the stocks that are relatively discounted and sell short those that appear most overpriced. However, the process is not so simple.

Because of the composition of the Master List, the stocks as a group tend to do significantly better than the market as a whole. Consequently, although the long positions have significantly outperformed the broadly based market, the short positions, if sold, will likely provide lesser returns than the overall market.

It is because of the Master List’s positive bias that in hedging accounts Drach utilizes writing index call options as a substitute for the short side. This substitution both eliminates the effect of the Master List’s upside bias that would be experienced in attempting to short Master List stocks and provides added profitability for the short side because of premium capture. As discussed in Chap. 9, the method of going long the selected Master List issues and proportionately shorting (selling) index call options is a lethargic process, which has so far produced a constant annualized return of about 15 percent irrespective of overall market conditions. Read the rest of this entry »

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