Advisers receive remuneration in two ways: fees for services rendered and commission paid to them on products they recommend. For years there has been a debate about which is best for the investor and there is no clear-cut answer. Read the rest of this entry »
In determining which specific closed-end fund provides the best buying opportunity, it might appear that the process is exceptionally simple: Just see which one is selling at the widest discount and buy it.
Unfortunately, the process is a bit more complicated. As previously discussed, there are valid reasons for discounts. There is also a wide variety of fund types: equity (stocks in general or in industrial sectors), bonds (different types, such as municipal, corporate, foreign, or U.S. government; all with varying maturities), convertible bonds (combining both bond and stock characteristics), specialty (confining interest to a specific country, a very narrow industry sector, venture capital, or specific private placements), dual-purpose (where the fund seeks both capital gains and income), or anything else that can generate public interest and enough sales to capitalize the fund. Read the rest of this entry »
Since almost all closed-end funds tend to sell at a discount, it can appear obvious that there is no reason to purchase closed-end funds when they are selling at a premium. Sometimes a special feature, for example, a closed-end fund having a private placement in its portfolio which is about to go public as a hot issue, may justify purchase at a premium. Otherwise, it is difficult to make a case for paying a price higher than NAV.
Central to the advantages of closed-end funds is the discount; both as to dividends and as to pricing variances. Read the rest of this entry »
A primary reason for discounts is a lack of sponsorship. If a securities salesperson (dependent on commissions) has a choice of selling someone an existing closed-end fund (say at a regular stock commission of around 1 percent) or a load mutual fund with a sales charge (that can be as much as 8 percent), the incentive is to direct “investors” to the open-end fund.
The incentives associated with higher sales charges can be easily observed when new closed-end funds are issued. In new issues, compensation is by underwriting fees. A typical fee is 7 to 8 percent. If a fund was coming public at $10 per share, an 8-percent underwriting fee would be 80 cents per share. Read the rest of this entry »
The ease of adapting Drach’s methods to closed-end funds is based on the similarity of scanning for relative discounting. The essence of the timing technique is to attempt to expand common stock investment when the overall market is relatively low, confining investment interest to stocks that qualify for the Master List, which appear relatively discounted to the others.
Scanning for the most appropriate closed-end fund based on discounts has the same objective: isolating the cheapest. In Drach’s objectives, he is searching for specific stocks that are overly discounted. In Herzfeld’s closed-end fund analysis, he is searching for the most discounted fund. The focus of both techniques is to isolate excessive discounts relative to historical/statistical norms.
A significant differential between Drach’s concentration on specific stock and Herzfeld’s concentration on specific funds is that the funds, by their structure, involve diversity in the number of different positions. Read the rest of this entry »
In both the primary and many of the ancillary criteria that determine buy/sell signals, interest rate projections play an important role. Whenstocks are priced at reasonable or discounted levels relative to historical fundamental norms, lowering interest rates can have a strong positive effect. Conversely, especially when stocks are overvalued relative to fundamentals, higher interest rates can be shown to have a very negative effecton stock pricing.
The effect on bonds (and bond funds) resulting from interest rate changes are more straightforward than stock pricing relationships because the effect on stocks at any given time depends on stock price levels. The effect on bonds is direct: Lower rates create higher bond prices, and higher rates result in lower bond prices. The effect of rate changes on bond prices can be more dramatic than many investors realize, with the greater price shifts associated with longer maturities. Read the rest of this entry »
In the published common stock portfolio modeling the Continuous Full Investment portfolio models were included to function as a control to allow objective comparisons with the market timing models.
Although intended as a control, allowing demonstration of the validity of the timing technique, the Continuous Models have significantly outperformed the broadly based popularized market averages. The reasons for this superior performance are twofold. First, the rigid requirements for stocks to qualify for the Master List results in the stocks comprising the Continuous Models to be of usually superior fundamental quality, thereby giving the group an upward bias relative to the overall market. Second, the Continuous Models change positions in a gradual, relatively slow process in which new positions are selected that are among the most discounted (low-priced relative to the others) on the list. In effect, a rotational process adds those that have become more discounted and deletes those less discounted. Read the rest of this entry »
Two things must be kept in mind when establishing a long position in this kind of hedge. First, since Treasury bond futures contractsrepresent face value of $100,000 worth of Treasury bonds, the investor will want to go long approximately $100,000 worth of closed-end bondfunds. When it comes to trading closed-end bond funds, I do not recommend buying more than 2000 or 3000 shares of a single fund for a short-term trade. That is why we would go long several different closed-end funds, representing positions of from $31,000 to $34,000 and amounting to approximately $100,000. That $100,000 long position offset the short position of 1 September U.S. Treasury bond futures contract at 100.18, priced at a 7.943 yield.
On February 10, 1978, with the Dow Jones Bond Average down to 89.79, two significant changes had taken place since we established our theoretical long and short positions: (1) The long positions in the bond funds had become profitable, and (2) so had the short position in the Treasury bond futures contract. For example, JHS was selling at 175/8, up from 167A; DBF was up to 165/8 from 161/2; and PAI had gone from 135/8 to 1334. The net asset values of all three funds had declined but the discounts, as predicted, narrowed more than the decline in net asset values, resulting in the profits. Read the rest of this entry »
In the common stock investment techniques, the most obvious hedging strategy might be to be long the stocks that are relatively discounted and sell short those that appear most overpriced. However, the process is not so simple.
Because of the composition of the Master List, the stocks as a group tend to do significantly better than the market as a whole. Consequently, although the long positions have significantly outperformed the broadly based market, the short positions, if sold, will likely provide lesser returns than the overall market.
It is because of the Master List’s positive bias that in hedging accounts Drach utilizes writing index call options as a substitute for the short side. This substitution both eliminates the effect of the Master List’s upside bias that would be experienced in attempting to short Master List stocks and provides added profitability for the short side because of premium capture. As discussed in Chap. 9, the method of going long the selected Master List issues and proportionately shorting (selling) index call options is a lethargic process, which has so far produced a constant annualized return of about 15 percent irrespective of overall market conditions. Read the rest of this entry »
Currency swap: Contract that commits two counterparties to exchange streams of interest payments in different currencies for an agreed period of time and to exchange principal amounts in different currencies at a pre-agreed exchange rate at maturity.
A currency swap has three stages:
An initial exchange of principal: the two counterparties exchange principal amounts at an agreed exchange rate. This can be a notional exchange since its purpose is to establish the principal amounts as a reference point for the calculation of interest payments and the re-exchange of the principal amounts.
Exchange of interest payments on agreed dates based on outstanding principal amounts and agreed fixed interest rates.
A eurobond is a debt security handled internationally by syndicates, groups of bankers and/or brokers who underwrite and distribute new issues of securities or large blocks of outstanding issues. It is typically in bearer (non-registered form) and is issued outside the country of the currency in which it is denominated.
Borrowers and lenders are spread around the world, while the intermediaries are spread across Europe, with the majority of business being done from London. The market was founded in the early 1960s and has provided a competitive source of funding for borrowers who can tap discreet but important sources of finance. Japanese banks, pension funds and insurance companies have become important lenders in recent years and there are still plenty of wealthy individuals who prefer the anonymity offered by bearer securities. The eurobond market is the world’s second largest securities market after the US bond market in terms of trading volume and the third largest after the US and Japanese bond markets in terms of debt outstanding. Read the rest of this entry »
A major defence industry supplier, Death Mines plc, wishes to borrow £1 million for twelve years at a fixed interest rate to finance a new investment project. It could do so by issuing a straight eurobond but, as it is not well known in the market and does not have a high credit risk rating, would have to pay a coupon of 8 per cent which it regards as too high. The firm’s own bank is willing to lend Death Mines the required amount via a one-year floating rate note at a rate of 2 per cent over LIBOR, currently at 3.6 per cent.
Clearly, the floating rate loan is much cheaper at the moment, but LIBOR could easily rise over the period of the loan to such a level that Death Mines would finish up losing on the project. Thus, it enters into a contract with a swap bank, Border International, to pay to it 5 per cent on the principal, receiving in exchange LIBOR.
The position of Death Mines now is:
Pays to its own bank LIBOR + 2 per cent
Pays to Border 5 per cent
Net position — fixed rate loan at 7 per cent Read the rest of this entry »
The swap terms available to the insurance company are as follows:
What has this interest-rate contract done for the bank and the life insurance company? Consider first the bank. For every six-month period for the life of the swap agreement, the interest-rate spread will be as follows: Read the rest of this entry »
So far we have merely described an interest-rate swap and looked at its characteristics. Here we illustrate how they can be used in asset/liability management. Other types of interest-rate swaps have been developed that go beyond the generic or “plain vanilla” swap described and we describe these later.
An interest-rate swap can be used to alter the cash flow characteristics of an institution’s assets so as to provide a better match between assets and liabilities. The two institutions we use for illustration are a commercial bank and a life insurance company. Read the rest of this entry »
Let’s illustrate the mechanics of a standard single-name credit default swap. Assume that the reference entity is the ABC Corporation and the reference obligation is the ABC Subordinated Debenture due 2110. The swap premium—the payment made by the protection buyer to the protection seller —is 550 basis points. If a credit event occurs, the protection seller pays the protection buyer the notional amount of the contract. In our illustration, we will assume that the notional amount is $10 million.
The notional amount is not the par value of the reference obligation. For example, suppose that a bond issue is trading at 73.53 (par value being 100). If a portfolio manager owns $13.6 million par value of the bond issue and wants to protect the current market value of $10 million (approximately equal to 73.53% of $13.6 million), then the portfolio manager will want a $10 million notional amount. If a credit event occurs, the portfolio manager will deliver the $13.6 million par value of the bond and receive a cash payment of $10 million. Read the rest of this entry »
A credit spread option is an option whose value/payoff depends on the change in credit spread for a reference obligation. It is critical in discussing credit spread options to define what the underlying is. The underlining can be either
When the underlying is a reference obligation with a fixed credit spread, then a credit spread option is defined as follows:
Credit spread put option: An option that grants the option buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell a reference obligation at a price that is determined by a strike credit spread over a referenced benchmark. Read the rest of this entry »
Corporations can customize medium-term notes for institutional investors who want to make a market play on interest rate, currency, and/or stock market movements. That is, the coupon rate on the issue will be based on the movements of these financial variables. A corporation can do so in such a way that it can still synthetically fix the coupon rate. This can be accomplished by issuing an MTN and entering into a swap simultaneously. MTNs created in this way are called structured MTNs. Read the rest of this entry »
An interest-rate agreement is an agreement between two parties whereby one party, for an upfront premium, agrees to compensate the other at specific time periods if a designated interest rate, called the reference rate, is different from a predetermined level. When one party agrees to pay the other when the reference rate exceeds a predetermined level, the agreement is referred to as an interest-rate cap or ceiling. The agreement is referred to as an interest-rate floor when one party agrees to pay the other when the reference rate falls below a predetermined level. The predetermined interest-rate level is called the strike rate.
The terms of an interest-rate agreement include
Here we review some of the terminology used in the swaps market and explain how swaps are quoted. The date that the counterparties commit to the swap is called the trade date. The date that the swap begins accruing interest is called the effective date, and the date that the swap stops accruing interest is called the maturity date.
Although our illustrations assume that the timing of the cash flows for both the fixed-rate payer and floating-rate payer will be the same, this is rarely the case in a swap. In fact, an agreement may call for the fixed-rate payer to make payments annually but the floating-rate payer to make payments more frequently (semiannually or quarterly). Also, the way in which interest accrues on each leg of the transaction differs, because there are several day-count conventions in the fixed-income markets. Read the rest of this entry »
An investor who lends funds by purchasing a bond issue is exposed to three types of credit risk: (1) default risk, (2) credit spread risk, and (3) downgrade risk.
Traditionally, credit risk is defined as the risk that the issuer will fail to satisfy the terms of the obligation with respect to the timely payment of interest and repayment of the amount borrowed. This form of credit risk is called default risk. If a default does occur, this does not mean the investor loses the entire amount invested because the investor can expect to recover a portion of the investment. Read the rest of this entry »
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